Showing posts with label gold. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gold. Show all posts

05 March 2013

The Dow smashes record high, when will the crash come?

As I write this the Dw is at 14,276, well above the record high of 2007 and seemingly set for stratosphereic heights. What is fueling this surge? Let's see where we are:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Then 14164.5; Now 14,276
  • Regular Gas Price: Then $2.75; Now $3.73
  • GDP Growth: Then +2.5%; Now +1.6%
  • Americans Unemployed (in Labor Force): Then 6.7 million; Now 13.2 million
  • Americans On Food Stamps: Then 26.9 million; Now 47.69 million
  • Size of Fed’s Balance Sheet: Then $0.89 trillion; Now $3.01 trillion
  • US Debt as a Percentage of GDP: Then ~38%; Now 74.2%
  • US Deficit (LTM): Then $97 billion; Now $975.6 billion
  • Total US Debt Oustanding: Then $9.008 trillion; Now $16.43 trillion
  • US Household Debt: Then $13.5 trillion; Now 12.87 trillion
  • Labor Force Particpation Rate: Then 65.8%; Now 63.6%
  • Consumer Confidence: Then 99.5; Now 69.6
  • S&P Rating of the US: Then AAA; Now AA+
  • VIX: Then 17.5%; Now 14%
  • 10 Year Treasury Yield: Then 4.64%; Now 1.89%
  • EURUSD: Then 1.4145; Now 1.3050
  • Gold: Then $748; Now $1583
  • NYSE Average LTM Volume (per day): Then 1.3 billion shares; Now 545 million shares
  • courtesy of Investment Watch

That takes a bit of the shine off, since the underlying economics simply just do not seem sustainable.

What to do? Maintain the ability to swiftly move your stock exposure at the first sign of a correction, anything over a 7-8 percent drop in the Dow, and take a look at options to any mutual fund accounts you have to move into a safethy zone.

And this time when the Dow crash comes, as it inevitably will, the safety of gold and especially silver will be where the money flows. Get there first.

19 December 2012

Inflation and the (Rising) Cost of Living - Prepare NOW

For years the US government has consistenly understated both the rate of inflation and the impact this form of hidden taxation takes on you and your fellow citizens. The BIG MAC TM Index shows the penalty inflation applies to all of us.



Coutesy of Seeking Alpha - The Big Mac And Your Financial Health

James Cornehlsen takes us furthur along this path applying the BIG MAC TM Index results to bonds, stocks and investments, with a very worrying conclusion.

As for myself, I am a believer in commodities over the next several years verses stocks or bonds. Why? Accelerating dollar inflation and the proven track record of gold and silver. 

Prediction: Year end 2013 brings gold at $1,950 per troy ounce and silver to $55.00. And the currently overvalued stock market sinks the Dow to $11,300.